Evaluation Of Satellite Rainfall Products for Water-Related Studies Across Borno State, Nigeria
Abstract
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.4314/5vca9522Abstract
Understanding rainfall variability is essential for sustainable rain-fed agriculture, optimised water resources management, and improved drought early warning systems in semi-arid regions such as Borno State, Nigeria. However, the scarcity of rain gauge networks limits accurate rainfall monitoring and drought assessment. With comprehensive spatial and temporal coverage, satellite rainfall products (SRPs) offer a viable alternative, but their accuracy requires local validation. The study evaluates the performance of the three SRPs, Precipitation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks- Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR), Climate Hazard Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station Data (CHIRPS), and Climate Research Unit Time Series (CRU TS), against rainfall data from the Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) from 1993 to 2021. Statistical techniques, including the correlation coefficient (r), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and Bland-Altman analysis, were used for validation. Among the evaluated SRPs, PERSIANN-CDR exhibited the strongest agreement with the NiMet rainfall dataset (r = 0.85), and the lowest error metrics (MAE = 29.7 mm; RMSE = 50.2 mm). CHIRPS and CRU TS showed moderate correlation (r = 0.81 0.82), and slightly higher error metrics (MAE = 29.5 - 33.3 mm, RMSE = 55.7 - 55.9 mm). Bias analysis revealed slight underestimation by PERSIANN-CDR (-5.1 mm) and CHIRPS (-5.5 mm), while showing slight overestimation by CRU TS (+6.5 mm). The results suggest that optimal planting periods should align with the onset of rainfall in late April to early May to maximise crop yield. These findings demonstrate that PERSIANN-CDR enhances localised drought monitoring, supports improved planting schedules, and strengthens agricultural planning and water management decision-making across Borno State, thereby contributing to food security, sustainable water use, and climate resilience in line with (SDG 2, 6, and 13).
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